Penn State vs Northwestern Prediction and Special Promo

Jan 11, 2023; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions guard Jalen Pickett (22) reacts to a three-point basket against the Indiana Hoosiers during the second half at the Bryce Jordan Center. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 11, 2023; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions guard Jalen Pickett (22) reacts to a three-point basket against the Indiana Hoosiers during the second half at the Bryce Jordan Center. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports /
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Penn State has three straight wins over Northwestern ahead of tonight’s matchup. The Nittany Lions need a victory to bolster their NCAA Tournament resume, as the Wildcats are one of the Big Ten’s best teams.

I like the value on Penn State tonight and will explain why below, but first let’s get you set for a HUGE payday thanks to Caesars Sportsbook’s new promo: bet insurance of up to $1,250! That’s right, your first bet at Caesars will automatically be refunded in bonus bets if you lose!

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Penn State vs Northwestern Prediction

This is a classic strength vs. strength matchup, as the Nittany Lions’ excellent offense takes on Northwestern’s superb defense. They say defense wins championships, but scoring will win tonight’s game.

The chasm between these teams offensively is vast. Penn State ranks 10th nationally in effective field goal percentage (55.9%) while the Wildcats are 312th (47.5%). Northwestern struggles to hit shots and we saw that impact in Penn State’s victory last month, as the Wildcats shot just 36.7% from the field in a 67-60 loss.

Stylistically, the Nittany Lions seem to have Northwestern’s number. They’re 5-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven games against the Wildcats with six outright wins in that span.

Recent trends support a Penn State bet as well. The Nittany Lions covered the spread in three straight contests as underdogs while Northwestern is just 4-6 ATS in its last 10 as a home favorite.

Back the visitors to improve to 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Wildcats thanks to another strong offensive performance.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.