Penn State vs Iowa Prediction and Promo: Bet $10, Win $200 at WynnBET Sportsbook
By Joe Summers
The 8-9 Penn State Nittany Lions hope to snap a three-game losing streak as the host the 14-6 Iowa Hawkeyes at 7:00 PM EST tonight. WynnBET has the Nittany Lions as 5-point underdogs and +170 on the moneyline (bet $10 to win $17) while the over-under is 138.5.
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Here’s how we’re betting tonight’s game:
Penn State vs Iowa Prediction
The Nittany Lions are hoping to avoid a season sweep after losing 51-68 to Iowa just over a week ago. They’ve covered the spread in four straight home games while Iowa has covered just once in their last four road games. Unfortunately for Penn State, however, this is a brutal matchup for them.
Penn State’s biggest problems are turnovers and free throws. They’re 262nd nationally in offensive turnover rate at 20.2%, per Bart Torvik, and 325th in offensive free throw rate. With 17 turnovers in the first matchup, the Nittany Lions have to protect the basketball better against an Iowa defense that forces turnovers on over 21% of their opponent’s possessions.
If you don’t protect the ball and you don’t get to the free throw line, you need to be able to shoot well to pull off upsets. But Penn State ranks just 165th in 3-point shooting and went 7/25 from beyond the arc against Iowa the first time. They’ll need an outlier performance to keep up with an Iowa team that boasts the 10th-best adjusted offensive efficiency in America.
When they lost to Iowa by 17 on the road, they were 10.5-point underdogs. I haven’t seen anything in their recent performance to suggest this line should be as short as it is even if Penn State is at home this time. The Hawkeyes will be looking for a bounce-back performance after losing to Purdue their last time out and will ramp up the pressure from the opening tip.
I’ll take Iowa -5 (-105) as my best bet in this one and expect Penn State’s turnover issues to be their downfall.
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