September 15, 2012; University Park, PA, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions wide receiver Allen Robinson (8) runs for a touchdown on a 45 yard pass completion by Nittany Lions quarterback Matthew McGloin (not shown) in the first quarter at Beaver Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Christy-US PRESSWIRE

Forcasting Penn State's Stats at the Halfway Point

Penn State has played six games and they will play six more in 2012. With the laziest, surely to be inaccurate formula, let’s double some midseason stats and see what they project out to for the entire season.

QB Matt McGloin
Current Stats:
1499 yards
12 TDs
2 Ints

Projected Stats:
2998 yards
24 TDs
4 Ints

I don’t expect anyone to believe that McGloin will only throw 4 interceptions this year but a 24 touchdown season would tie the record, and it’s not that far-fetched. The record for yards in a season is 3,004. Also, McGloin needs just 9 more touchdown passes to tie the career TD mark of 43. He’s on pace to shatter the record for completions in a season. His 136 are well over half way to the mark of 234, set by Anthony Morelli.

RB/FB Zach Zwinak
Current Stats:
317 rushing yards
3 touchdowns
68 receiving yards

Projected Stats: 
634 rushing yards
9 touchdowns
136 receiving yards

In fairness, Zwinak has really only played the last three games. If you triple his stats, accordingly, he’d be on pace for around 1,150 total yards and 9 touchdowns. However, he probably won’t carry the load for every remaining game on the schedule and may be slowed by a Big Ten defense here or there…

WR Allen Robinson
Current Stats:
41 receptions
534 yards
7 touchdowns

Projected Stats: 
82 receptions
1068 yards
14 touchdowns

Here are the single season records: 63 receptions, 1084 yards, 13 touchdowns. ARob has already tied the record for receptions by a sophomore and you’d have to believe he’s catching that record of 63 receptions, if not the other two big ones.

TE Kyle Carter
Current Stats:
23 receptions
279 yards
1 touchdown

Projected Stats:
46 receptions
558 yards
2 touchdowns

Kyle was recently added to the John Mackey Award watch list. It’s awarded to the top tight end in the nation, annually. The record for receptions by a tight end is 41 and the yardage mark is 600. It’s tough to project Carter’s stats as Penn State utilizes so many different tight ends, but he has already eclipsed the sum of the tight end production from last year.

DT Jordan Hill 
Current Stats:
28 tackles
2 tfl
1.5 sacks

Projected Stats:
56 tackles
4 tfl
3 sacks

That many tackles from a defensive tackle would be very impressive. In comparison, Devon Still had 55 last year. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the tackles for loss number rise as the season goes on.

LB Michael Mauti
Current Stats:
57 tackles
2.5 tfl
2 interceptions
1.5 sacks

Projected Stats:
114 tackles
5 tfl
4 interceptions
3 sacks

Mauti isn’t a threat to break Greg Buttle’s record of 165 tackles (JEEZ) but he is certainly on a good pace.
In conclusion, nothing here is conclusive. Penn State’s offense is doing really well, but they need to keep it up for a 2nd half of a season. Some of these numbers will not hit their projections…others will exceed them.

For all of the latest on the Penn State Nittany Lions, follow VBR Lead Editor Tim Tolley on Twitter.


 

 

 

 

 

 

Tags: Football Penn State Nittany Lions

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